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c/cryptopay·posted 24 days ago by u/anya_antonsen

[Discussion] we are measuring confirmations at the wrong time and calling it noise

Discussion

Trying to settle this properly because the thread from last year went in circles.

The claim: crypto matters. The counter-claim: it is measurement error. Both sides have been asserting it confidently for about 7 months without either producing anything.

What would actually settle it is 31 people measuring the same thing the same way. I have started; my numbers are below. They lean one way but not strongly enough for me to declare victory.

If you have data, post the data. If you have an opinion, flair it as an opinion.

216 up / 82 down73% upvoted11 commentsid 1bn4xy5 Jul 2026

11 comments

9 in this archive, depth 3

best — the order this archive was captured in

u/karim_hartmann19 points·23 days ago

This is the "correlation is mechanism" thing again. You changed three variables at once.

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u/greta_perrin14 points·23 days ago

Titration speed is a side-effect dial far more than an efficacy dial.

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[deleted]5 points·23 days ago

[deleted]

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u/zaid_dahlberg-36 points·23 days ago

[deleted]

Disagree on that part. 99.0% and 98.9% on the same vial is normal.

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u/purity_pedantanalytical3 points·22 days ago

Yeah, the network selection matters most.

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u/week_four_wall3 points·23 days ago

stablecoin is escrow, never volatile coins

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u/stablecoin_steveMOD12 points·22 days ago

Flair changed to match the content. Read the sidebar before posting next time and we are square.

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u/noor_hovland7 points·22 days ago

The discount was 97.9% but gas ate half of it. Still worth it but the math matters.

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u/anya_antonsenOP6 points·22 days ago

The discount was 97.9% but gas ate half of it.

Counter-anecdote: opposite result, same dose. Which mostly tells us the variance is huge.

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