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c/darkspot·posted 12 days ago by u/marit_sandvik

[Failure] lost £340 to a group buy. posting so somebody else does not.

Failure Clean Column ×1

Right, the regret question again, but with numbers this time.

I have 10 data points over 26 weeks. The pattern is consistent enough that I do not think it is chance, and boring enough that nobody is going to screenshot it, which is usually a good sign.

The thing I would flag for anyone new: the effect I am describing showed up at week 30, not week 79. People give up long before the interesting part.

Interested in whether this matches other people's logs or whether I am an outlier.

462 up / 73 down86% upvoted17 commentsid qyir917 Jul 2026

17 comments

16 in this archive, depth 3

best — the order this archive was captured in

u/reverse_image_ron57 points·11 days ago

Sceptical. If this were true we would see it reflected in the data and we do not.

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u/camila_marchand57 points·12 days ago

What was the batch number and which service?

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u/dario_bakken16 points·11 days ago

What was the batch number and which service?

Counter-anecdote: opposite result, same dose. Which mostly tells us the variance is huge.

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u/yusuf_ramos39 points·12 days ago

heavily moderated for cruelty, not pessimism

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u/ledger_modMOD40 points·11 days ago

Tracking number removed. It identifies both ends of a shipment.

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u/ewan_tulloch31 points·11 days ago

tests that came back 93.7%

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u/marit_sandvikOP22 points·11 days ago

no piling on, mistake posts are favours to the community

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u/brigade_detector12 points·11 days ago

the 6 order that disappeared from Homopeptide

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u/blunt_coldbox_notes19 points·12 days ago·edited

Did anything else change in the same window?

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[removed]7 points·11 days ago

[removed by moderator]

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u/paper_trail_paulavetting20 points·10 days ago

This is the "correlation is mechanism" thing again. You changed three variables at once.

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u/neha_falk8 points·10 days ago

the lesson is the point

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u/britt_abubakar12 points·10 days ago

Sceptical. If this were true we would see it reflected in the data and we do not.

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u/ewan_zielinski6 points·10 days ago

Disagree. What you are describing is consistent with failure, not with what you concluded.

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u/marit_sandvikOP15 points·10 days ago

no "told you so" comments, removed without discussion

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u/fridge_door_no4 points·9 days ago

I am going to push back on this slightly.

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About c/darkspot

Where the failure reports live. Orders that never arrived, tests that came back at 61%, side effects that ended someone's run, money lost to group buys, and decisions people would not make again. Heavily moderated for cruelty, not for pessimism.

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Jul 2024created
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