[Discussion] regret is doing more work than we give it credit for
Right, the regret question again, but with numbers this time. I have 3 data points over 16 weeks. The pattern is consistent enough that I do not think it is chance, and boring enough that nobody is going to screenshot it, which is usually a good sign. The thing I would flag for anyone new: the effect I am describing…
Removed a chain here. The rule is one line long and it is not negotiable.
the lesson is the point
heavily moderated for cruelty, not pessimism
the lesson is the point
Counter-anecdote: opposite result, same dose. Which mostly tells us the variance is huge.
still evidence-based: what went wrong, when, proof