what would you tell week-1 you about lane
Right, the lane question again, but with numbers this time.
I have 5 data points over 10 weeks. The pattern is consistent enough that I do not think it is chance, and boring enough that nobody is going to screenshot it, which is usually a good sign.
The thing I would flag for anyone new: the effect I am describing showed up at week 64, not week 18. People give up long before the interesting part.
Interested in whether this matches other people's logs or whether I am an outlier.
best — the order this archive was captured in
I love that this community will spend 40 comments on a detail. That pedantry is why the numbers here matter.
SWB ships from Australia, arrival is 22 to 33 days on average
Yeah, the lane data is more useful than single reports.
Yeah, the lane data is more useful than single reports.
Counter-anecdote: opposite result, same dose. Which mostly tells us the variance is huge.
lane reports need origin, destination, carrier, actual transit days
QST Sweden to Sweden: 17 days with QST shipping, 39 days with customs. No drama.
lane reports need origin, destination, carrier, actual transit days
Adding to this: reship is doing more work than the comment implies.
Flair changed to match the content. Read the sidebar before posting next time and we are square.
Flair changed to match the content.
Yes, exactly this, and it is the bit that took me 17 weeks to accept.
Small correction: the trial was 9 weeks, not 26. Does not change your point but people will quote it.
Disagree but this is the good kind of wrong — it is specific enough to be checked.
the reship outcome is data worth posting
packaging quality matters on the 17-hour segments
This is correct. Variance is the story.
WWB ships from Denmark, arrival is 14 to 24 days on average
This is correct. Variance is the story.
Customs held the package for 3 days. No problems, just time. Factor it into expectations.
Mechanistically the bit that matters is transit time. It explains most of the early profile and a decent chunk of the outcome.
Actual days or estimated?
Australia to Australia: HJ with 20 days is the average, variance is 16
no tracking numbers, no full addresses, no label photos — instant removal
Mechanistically the bit that matters is transit time.
Adding to this: transit time is doing more work than the comment implies.
- 1Disagree but this is the good kind of wrong — it is specific enough to be…9 comments in this branch · started by u/endotoxin_ellie
- 2Mechanistically the bit that matters is transit time. It explains most of…5 comments in this branch · started by u/archived_thread_a