FLOW vs TRIUMPH — genuinely asking which matters more
Trying to settle this properly because the thread from last year went in circles.
The claim: FLOW matters. The counter-claim: it is measurement error. Both sides have been asserting it confidently for about 8 months without either producing anything.
What would actually settle it is 3 people measuring the same thing the same way. I have started; my numbers are below. They lean one way but not strongly enough for me to declare victory.
If you have data, post the data. If you have an opinion, flair it as an opinion.
best — the order this archive was captured in
absolute risk reduction, not relative risk reduction, that is how you decide
This is the "correlation is mechanism" thing again. You changed three variables at once.
Removed a chain here. The rule is one line long and it is not negotiable.
off-label use data is different from approved-indication data
Phase 2 TRIUMPH looked amazing. Phase 3 trials are harder. Do not anchor on phase 2 readouts.
That is net peptide content, not purity. Different number, different meaning.
number-needed-to-treat is the house dialect
Yeah, absolute numbers matter more than the press release.
No. This is the kind of confident post that gets copied into a screenshot and repeated for years. Where is the evidence.
Not to be pedantic but SURPASS and TRIUMPH are being used interchangeably and they are not interchangeable in real life.
number-needed-to-treat is the house dialect
Mechanistically the bit that matters is SELECT. It explains most of the early profile and a decent chunk of the outcome.
This is correct. Discontinuation arms show the regain reality.
Strongly agree. Phase 2 is investigational, not conclusive.
STEP, SURMOUNT, SURPASS, SELECT, FLOW, TRIUMPH — read the appendix
Phase 2 TRIUMPH looked amazing. Phase 3 trials are harder. Do not anchor on phase 2 readouts.
event rates are more informative than hazard ratios alone
- 1off-label use data is different from approved-indication data5 comments in this branch · started by u/pancreatitis_scare
- 2saved. thank you.5 comments in this branch · started by u/ahmed_iyer